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Product details
File Size: 3553 KB
Print Length: 232 pages
Publisher: AEI Press; First edition (August 16, 2010)
Publication Date: August 16, 2010
Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC
Language: English
ASIN: B004RIOM8C
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I chose this book because it is in Bill Gates 's list n had a good review therefore I had a relatively high expectation.The first part about the end of fossil fuel is rather boring as it is full of other scientists previous forecast n prediction. As with all forecasts there is always margins of errors. Smil dismissed them as incorrect with the benefit of hind sight. It is not all too convincing.The part about corn n cane ethanol starts to get interesting n my pace was much faster. However, he should have discuss the distorted economics of corn as fuel and corn as food to arrive at the conclusion that corn should be used as food rather than fuel. The part on wind energy was also good. He mentioned that wind can only work with good transmission network.Smil seems to support nuclear energy but he did not have the benefit of the knowledge of the Japanese nuclear plant failure at the time of writing the book.In sum, the good part n bad part even out each other. I give it a 3 star.
For the data enthusiast, Smil is an excellent read. Incredibly thorough (to a fault) in his analysis, Smil pulls no punches when discussing energy issues. He is a realist and pragmatist and anyone involved or interested in the alternative energy or electric car field would do well from his study to understand the real debates. What Smil does not do though is discuss the potential impact of increased demand for fossil fuel alternatives on the rate of technological change to accomplish this (he has underestimated the trajectory of this rate) and the politics of fossil fuel supply or impact on the politics of the major fossil fuel producers such as Saudi Arabia's more recent commitment to designing a $2 trillion 'post fossil fuel' future. Pair this book with Smil's 'Power Density' for perhaps the most technical analyses on the topic.
...and, for all the starry-eyed "greenies" and their "climate denier" counter-parts. Debunks the myths, and topples more than a few self-styled icons, while letting the data form the facts. Wishful thinking should have no part in the energy discussions, and policies which will emerge from those dialogues. Smil is the consummate "myth buster" and is not friends with either camp in the contentious arguments.
Smil does a good job bursting the wishful thinking that many individuals maintain about energy. There aren't any magic bullets. Fossil fuels will be with us for a long time as we transition into an unknown future. Stopping pipelines only increases the ultimate cost (and, ironically, carbon footprint) of extracting the energy that billions require.
The book is important for anybody who is directly involved in energy-related matters. It is also interesting reading for those with a science bent. The author keeps the hype of claimed energy saviors in check, and also dispels the imminent doom of modern living due to depleting fossil-energy reserves.The book is slightly heavy-going in parts, and some facts are repeated, but the impact of the message is immense.
A well-reasoned and dispassionate analysis of available energy resources. Refreshing to see an important subject discussed intelligently with good documentation. I'm going to search out some of his other work.
No more fully up-to-date (could use a refresh reflecting some of the recent advances, metrics and directions with regard to solar energy and electric vehicles in particular), but with largely timeless points and arguments, this is definitely worth a read.
I would recommend this book, in fact it should be required reading in high school along with critical thinking. Can we for once deal with the facts.
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